Name the crossing, not the county.
When a storm starts in Juja, riders get “more than 80 mm in some areas”. Crossing Watch turns one rain gauge into a call for each named crossing: cross, wait or reroute, and for how long.
Runs on the JKUAT weather station’s real 15-minute rain data, 6–24 March 2026.
Friday 20 March, 17:15. The rain hits JKUAT.
51 mm fell in under three hours, 12 mm of it in fifteen minutes. Each row below is the call one crossing would have given a rider, every fifteen minutes, on the real gauge data.
- Kimbo–Matangi goes red at 18:00
- “Likely flooded for two and a half hours. Use Kenyatta Road.” At 20:30, right on time, the call eases to wait; by 21:15 it’s cross.
- The campus culvert drains first
- JKUAT’s Technology Street clears an hour before Kimbo–Matangi, on the same rain.
- The river is slow
- The Ndarugu bridge rises last and stays up past midnight, long after the rain stops at 20:15.
Three things make the call.
- 52 / 52 mm
One gauge, every 15 minutes.
The JKUAT station's running daily total, read carefully: its raw rain column under-reports about 17×, and its second gauge follows the sun, so we set it aside.
- JKUATKimbo–MatangiNdarugu
A bucket for every crossing.
Rain fills it and it drains at the crossing's own speed: 45 minutes for a campus culvert, ten hours for a river bridge. Same storm, different signatures.
- beforeafter one report
Riders set the trigger.
A "flooded" tap at a known water level cuts the range where the trigger can be. One report at the Ndarugu bridge narrows it 45%.
What we know, and what we don’t yet.
Real
- Rain: the JKUAT station's own readings, 6–24 March 2026.
- Kimbo–Matangi flooded after the March rain (The Star, 9 Mar 2026). That report sets its trigger.
- Rivers, roads and detours: OpenStreetMap, routed at boda speed.
- A storm it never saw: trained on March only, it called Kimbo–Matangi red at 23:00 on 27 April. The Star photographed the road flooded the next day.
Not yet
- Triggers start from a single storm. Wide, dashed bands on screen say so, and every tap narrows them.
- The flooded spot on Kimbo–Matangi comes from residents' posts, and the detour is the shortest dry route on OpenStreetMap. Riders still need to confirm both.
- Drain times are rough. After that April storm it said cross at 04:15, but the road stayed flooded through 28 April.
- No rider survey yet. The Kiswahili copy needs a native speaker's review.
Ready before the October rains.
Kenya Met expects wetter-than-normal rain in Kiambu from the second and third weeks of October. A pilot needs three boda stages, JKUAT, one gauge and riders willing to tap.
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